Mon Mome

Mon Mome Form comes and goes, but class lasts forever, or so they say, and that’s certainly something to bear in mind when looking for a big-priced winner. Not all rank outsiders, not even those who are sent off at triple-figure odds, are necessarily forlorn hopes. They may be unfancied for any number of reasons, such as being asked to race on unsuitable going, over an unsuitable distance, or both, or simply running poorly last time out.

Take Mon Mome who, in 2009, became the first 100/1 winner of the Grand National since Foinavon in 1967. The previous year, on good going, Mon Mome had finished a never dangerous in the National, off a 7lb lower mark, so from a handicapping perspective his chance of winning the race at the second attempt was not obvious. He’d also been beaten 57 lengths over 4 miles 1½ furlongs on soft going at Uttoxeter and 42 lengths over 3 miles 3½ furlongs on heavy going at Haydock – admittedly in valuable races – so he wasn’t exactly in form, either.

However, by virtue of having won three lower grade steeplechases on soft and heavy going during the 2005/06 season, as a novice, Mon Mome had been labelled a mudlark. Nevertheless, closer inspection would have shown that his best form in the months leading up to the Grand National had come on good to soft going at Cheltenham the previous December, when he’d beaten Star De Mohaison and Possol by half a length and 19 lengths in a Listed handicap chase over 3 miles 1½ furlongs, off a handicap mark of 140. One or two observant tipsters spotted this at the time, presenting Mon Mome as one of their Grand National tips. On the basis of the form, he’d been made favourite for the Welsh National at Chepstow, but ran below expectations on the soft ground, as he did on subsequent outings at Haydock and Uttoxeter.

Prior to the 2009 Grand National, Mon Mome had never won beyond 3 miles 1½ furlongs, so had his stamina to prove. On the plus side, though, he had experience of the National Course and the prevailing going at Aintree was good to soft, so off a handicap mark 8lb higher than at Cheltenham, he was – or, at least, should have been – one to consider.

Bookmakers obviously aren’t stupid, but while horses that win at massive odds aren’t exactly ten a penny, they do occur more frequently than you might imagine. If you can find a horse that is attempting the same as it has achieved in the past, or only a little more, and you can make a solid case for it on the grounds of distance, going, handicapping or any other relevant factor(s), don’t be afraid to take a long price. There would be, or rather is, nothing worse than having your eye on an outsider with something about it, then deciding not to bet and seeing it romp home. When betting at large or generous odds, the value is there, and so there’s something to be said for making a proactive decision rather than overthinking.

Making the most of your money betting during the Grand National

Making the most of your money betting during the Grand National There aren’t many races that capture the attention of both pros and laypeople alike, but the Grand National is certainly one of them. With television audiences of hundreds of millions, a sizeable on-course crowd, and also £300 million plus of bets placed on the race itself, the anticipation for the race takes hold each and every year. And it’s of course also one of those races where we all enjoy having a flutter.

But how to best make the most of your Grand National betting opportunities, I hear you ask? Well first off I’d say that it’s not always best to follow the crowd when you bet. Draw your own conclusions based on either your statistical knowledge, the look of a horse, the trainers you follow, that kind of thing. Another angle of merit is in in tracking down the best free bets out there. The top bookmakers all scrambling to attract your custom reaches fever pitch when The National approaches, so it pays to keep an eye out for the various offers and incentives available. Free bets, , rewards, and bonuses are all a possibility if you sign up to the right bookmaker. Anybody can get a horse racing free bet with many of the household name bookmakers out there, so there certainly isn’t a shortage of that. Comparison sites can certainly be a good way of working out who you should be betting with and getting ‘more bang for your buck’ if you will!

As for who to bet on in the 2020 Grand National, well that decision is, as always, in the eye of the beholder. Many people elect to go for a pot luck approach to choosing their bet, perhaps they simply like the name of the horse in question. Others opt for a much more analytical and holistic approach of factoring in form, the going, who trains and rides a particular horse. What attracted a punter to bet on a horse can be a very nuanced situation. Much like a fingerprint, no two punters will make exactly the same betting decisions.

Of course, with an event that involves such prestige, many will be looking for the fairytale ending of Tiger Roll winning an impressive three Grand Nationals in a row (following wins in 2018 and 2019), eclipsing the long standing achievement of another racing icon, Red Rum. This is why many online magazines and bookies sites will playfully suggest placing your money on Tiger Roll to be the big winner. This allows punters to on the way earn a spot in the page of history while making a bet on one of the best winning horses ever. At 8-1 it could be argued that there’s a lot of value in this dream outcome, but for some they will think it’s a Grand National too far and look elsewhere for a potential winner. Whichever horse you eventually opt for, the nation will pause for a moment as we all stop what we’re doing and get absorbed into the perfect combination of atmosphere and ability that the Grand National has to offer the betting public.

A guide to the Grand National: How to choose a winner and when to place your bets

A guide to the Grand National: How to choose a winner and when to place your bets

Thinking of attending the Grand National his year, or casting some bets while it’s live? However you plan to watch it, you’ll no doubt want to know how to make an impressive profit. Here, Peter Watton from matched betting experts OddsMonkey shares the need-to-know details of this iconic event.

April is less than a month away, and you know what that means: the Grand National is upon us! This annual race event welcomes avid betters and newbies from areas near and far for a racing, betting and an opportunity to have fun with their nearest and dearest.

While just attending this iconic event is an experience all of its own, you’ll no doubt be interested in making a nice profit from your bets, especially as the total prize fund is set to total £1m again. But, where do you start? Here, I’ll be talking you through the history of the Grand National, as well as sharing my advice on picking a winner and when to place your bets.

When and where is the Grand National?
The 2020 Grand National will take place on Saturday 4th of April and is one of the four race days that will make up this year’s Randox Health Grand National Festival. Recognised as one of the world’s richest horse races in terms of the prize money available, the Grand National expects to welcome over 70,000 people attending the Saturday event alone.

The Grand National will take place at Aintree Racecourse in the borough of Sefton in Merseyside, where it has been hosted since 1839.

The history of the Grand National
The first Grand National race was hosted in 1839, and originally named the Grand Liverpool Steeplechase, taking place at the Aintree racecourse but following a slightly different route. At this time, the starting line was near to Melling Road, and runners were required to race across the four-mile course which included jumping a number of obstacles including natural banks, stone walls and brooks.

The first ever winner of the Grand National was a horse aptly named Lottery who had odds of 5/1 to win, making history at Aintree that day.

How to pick a Grand National winner
There is no exact science behind choosing a winning horse. For example, in the past it was believed that horses carrying jockeys over 11 stone would rarely win, so you could’ve ruled out a good proportion of the horses. However, this has shown a reversal in recent years.

It’s still worth doing your homework before placing a bet for the race, though. Once the final declaration of the horses has been announced — which is usually two days before the event — it’ll be worth researching the horses you’re thinking about placing bets on. Looking into how they’ve performed on previous races and checking their form book to see which terrains and conditions they have done best on will be useful. You can then compare these to the conditions on the day, to make a well-informed choice.

You can also look at the number of runs the horses had to help you to make a winning decision. Seven previous winners had minimum four runs before going on to win the Aintree Grand National, with the only three who had less in recent years being Ballabriggs in 2011, One for Arthur in 2017 and Tiger Roll in 2019 — all of which had three runs.

However, don’t simply go off what previous statistics say. If you plan on attending the Grand National rather than watching it live on TV, you have the advantage of looking at the horses in the parade ring or paddock before playing your bet, so you can make your own judgements.

When you’re placing your bet, it’s important to remember that the shorter the odds offered, the more likely the bookmaker thinks it is that it’ll win. As a rule of thumb, a placed horse with odds at 5/1 will see your entire bet stake returned, while a placed horse priced with odds of 10/1 will give you a 50% yield on your investment. Those with 14/1 or 16/1 are most likely to result in your money being doubled.

Although there are many different ways to pick a winner, and everybody’s method is different, those who are clued up enough to make predictions for the Grand National will usually look at a range of aspects. These include the horse’s age, weight, jumping experience and ability to perform in top-class races. They may even share information about the minimum number of chase runs, the number of runs in the past 180 days, the number of days since their last run and the place within the last three starts. All of this can help you to pick a winning horse and make a great profit.

How and when to place a bet
There are two main types of bet at the Grand National: win-only and each way. For a win-only, your horse will need to win the race, whereas each way is effectively two bets. The latter means you’re placing a bet on your horse to win, as well as one for it to be placed in the top three and is the most popular of all Grand National betting offers by far. But, pay attention to the terms on which the bookmaker will accept each-way bets as these can differ.

If you’re considering placing a bet before the day of the Grand National race, you should bear in mind that of the horses entered, only 40 of them will run. This means that any horses below around number 50 ahead of the final declaration stage will have little chance of taking part.

This means that for ante-post betting to be a success, you’ll need to find a horse that’s guaranteed to make the line up on the day. Of course, this isn’t as straight-forward as it sounds due to the limit on the number of runners as well as unexpected injuries, illnesses and other things preventing well-fancied horses from participating. This will then mean your bet is classed as a loser and bookmakers will be able to pocket your stake. But, generally picking horses above number 40 on the list can reduce the risk.

If you plan on placing a Grand National bet on the day of the race, your research should come in handy here. Looking at the conditions of the ground and knowing which of the participants run best on these, will help you to make a good decision.

Grand National betting favourites
If you feel like you need some inspiration for your Grand National bets, taking a look at the favourites could help. Here are some of the favourites that could win you a pretty penny when the big day comes — but just be aware that odds are set to change.

#1 – Tiger Roll – 5/1
#2 – Burrows Saint – 12/1
#3 – Any Second Now – 12/1
#4 – Definitely Red – 14/1
#5 – Kimberlite Candy – 16/1

The Grand National race is one of the most highly anticipated events of the year, so get in with a piece of the action this year by placing smart bets. Follow my advice, and you might just be onto a winner.